cbBTC - Coinbase Wrapped BTC

Overview

Field Value
Symbol cbBTC
Name Coinbase Wrapped BTC
Token Type Hard Money (Store of Value)
Risk Class Class B (Systemic)
Insider Score 100/100
Tariff Override 10%
Calculated Tariff 26%
Exchange Multiplier 1.3x

Risk Analysis

Token Type

Hard Money (Store of Value)

Archetype

Class B (Systemic)

Insider Score

100/100 - High insider control

Exchange Rate

1.3x (Tariff: 26%)

Tags

Analyst Notes

Bitcoin held by a centralized exchange. Useful for liquidity, but carries maximum regulatory seizure risk.


Reasoning Pricer Analysis

Post-Fiat Collapse Valuation

Metric Value
Token Type HardMoney
Base Multiplier Range 20x - 50x
Type Adjustment Factor 35x
Risk Class Adjustment 1.0x
Insider Risk Factor 0.50x
AI Timeline Factor 0.20x
AI Category Static (Cannot Evolve)
Current AI Phase Creative Renaissance
Real Valuation Multiplier 3x
Uncertainty Range 2x - 3x
Current vs Real Price $1.00 → $2.80
Trading Signal HOLD

Analysis

[AI Timeline: Creative Renaissance] Asset classified as Static (Cannot Evolve) (Static assets that cannot adapt to AI acceleration. These assets decline in value as AI progresses.). AI Timeline Factor: 0.20x (AI acceleration penalizes this static asset). Hard Money (Store of Value): becomes the new reserve currency (base range: 20x - 50x). Insider control (100/100) reduces multiplier by 0.50x due to centralization risks. Rank #15 applies 0.8x adjustment (mid-tier liquidity). Final real valuation multiplier: 2.8x. Token trading at $1.00 today would be worth $2.80 post-fiat collapse. AI acceleration creates headwinds for this asset class. Trading signal (HOLD): Moderate value post-collapse. Maintain current position.


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