WBTC - Wrapped Bitcoin (Portal)

Overview

Field Value
Symbol WBTC
Name Wrapped Bitcoin (Portal)
Price $9.2e4
Market Cap $1.2e10
Token Type Hard Money (Store of Value)
Risk Class Class A (Real Yield)
Insider Score 20/100
Tariff Override 5%
Calculated Tariff 11%
Exchange Multiplier 1.1x

Risk Analysis

Token Type

Hard Money (Store of Value)

Archetype

Class A (Real Yield)

Insider Score

20/100 - Low insider control

Exchange Rate

1.1x (Tariff: 11%)

Tags

Analyst Notes

Standard Corporate Bitcoin. Custodial risk (BitGo) requires a small friction tariff compared to tBTC.


Reasoning Pricer Analysis

Post-Fiat Collapse Valuation

Metric Value
Token Type HardMoney
Base Multiplier Range 20x - 50x
Type Adjustment Factor 35x
Risk Class Adjustment 1.2x
Insider Risk Factor 0.90x
AI Timeline Factor 0.20x
AI Category Static (Cannot Evolve)
Current AI Phase Creative Renaissance
Liquidity Risk Factor 1.00x
Real Valuation Multiplier 9x
Uncertainty Range 7x - 11x
Current vs Real Price $9.2e4` → `$8.4e5
Trading Signal HOLD

Analysis

[AI Timeline: Creative Renaissance] Asset classified as Static (Cannot Evolve) (Static assets that cannot adapt to AI acceleration. These assets decline in value as AI progresses.). AI Timeline Factor: 0.20x (AI acceleration penalizes this static asset). Hard Money (Store of Value): becomes the new reserve currency (base range: 20x - 50x). Class A (Real Yield) receives 1.2x risk class boost - resilient during market stress. Insider control (20/100) reduces multiplier by 0.90x due to centralization risks. Rank #8 gives 1.2x premium (blue-chip safety asset). Liquidity friction (Market Cap: $1.2e10) adds a 10% baseline tariff. Final real valuation multiplier: 9.1x. Token trading at $1.00 today would be worth $9.07 post-fiat collapse. AI acceleration creates headwinds for this asset class. Trading signal (HOLD): Moderate value post-collapse. Maintain current position.


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